So I finally got a few moments to work on some of my data and charts for the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board's January statistics release and here are the results.
The house price indes is up 1.4% after 3 straight months of declines putting the index value equal to the September 2006 level.
Active listings have decreased from the October high of 7438 to the January level of 6099 which is 29% higher than the January 2006 active listings of 4722 and marginally higher than the January 2005 active listings of 5950. Seems like a fairly normal seasonal variation.
Median prices have been stagnant for the past 7 months with no significant changes since June 2006. It seems like there is no rush to buy or sell in this market.
And lastly, the comparison of the Months of Inventory and the Quarterly Price Changes for the past two years. Still showing an exceptionally strong inverse correlation of -0.81 the months of inventory are at a moderately high level right now at 6.1 and quarterly price changes are non-existent.
The next few months will tell the story of things to come. We could see further stagnation and more inventory with low demand and subsequent price decreases. Conversely, we could see a resurgence of demand and tighter supply. I don't see the latter scenario as very likely given poor demand at the current price levels and all of the units under construction right now and due to complete in the next few months.